Most leadership teams can see more about their business than they could a decade ago. Dashboards refresh daily, sometimes hourly. And yet the same meetings keep happening: a number has moved, everyone can see it, and the discussion turns into competing explanations of why.
The dashboard is doing its job. Consistent, current visibility is valuable, and hard to run a business without. But visibility and understanding are different things. A metric is a result. It tells you what happened. It doesn't tell you what produced it, or what it would be worth to change.
A decision about a metric really needs three layers of understanding:
Most reporting stops at the first layer. The other two get filled in during the meeting, by experience, intuition, or whoever argues best.
The decision actually gets made in the two layers most reports leave out.
A quieter version of the same fog shows up when the only things that are easy to measure are the things a team did. At a large bank, a multi-billion-dollar digital budget was spread across many teams, each with its own business case. Results were reported as launches, traffic and new features. All accurate, all visible, and none of it drew a consistent line to sales or deposits.
So funding followed last year's budget and the best-argued case. Once every investment was put on one outcome basis, tied to the P&L against one baseline, the picture changed: a few initiatives drove most of the measurable result. Planning cycle time, from proposal to funded decision, fell by about 60%. The bigger change was that the argument moved from whose case was most persuasive to what the evidence showed.
The discipline is to draw the chain from the work to the number, and from the number to the money:
Take the three metrics your leadership team watches most closely. For each, write one line on what operating condition drives it and one line on what a 10% improvement would be worth. If either line is hard to write, the dashboard is giving you visibility, and the fog is in the layers below it.
Lessons from the Fog is a series on where capable organizations lose sight of how they really work, and the disciplines that bring it back into view. Previous lesson: Your organization chart isn't your operating model.